As the Russia-Ukraine crisis continues, the British Ministry of Defence (MoD) has published Russia’s possible invasion plan for Ukraine on their official social media account. In their statement, the MoD stated that after the latest intelligence reports, Russia could invade Ukraine without further warning. “Russia has claimed that some units will be returning to bases following the conclusion of drills. We have seen no evidence that Russian forces are withdrawing from Ukrainian border regions. Russia could conduct an invasion without further warning. Russia retains a significant military presence that can conduct an invasion without further warning,” MoD said on their social media account.
In the map of the 2-stage possible invasion plan, titled “President Putin’s possible invasion axis”, the MoD stated that in the first stage Russia can carry out a ground operation from 2 points along the Belarusian border and 1 point from Russia’s western border towards Kiev. The map also includes potential first-stage ground movements from 2 points to Dnipro, from Crimea to Mariupol and from the Russian border in the direction of Luhansk. In the second phase, potential second phase ground movements took place from Crimea to Mykolaiv and from Dnipro to Vinnytsya.
On the other hand, MoD told that Russian President Vladimir Putin can still avoid conflict and choose to keep the peace.